Dow Jones breaks late, etches in thin gains on Tuesday (2024)

  • Dow Jones struggled to make gains on Tuesday, underperforming other indexes.
  • Fedspeak is cautiously tilting towards rate cuts, but more progress remains.
  • Key US data looms ahead this week with Friday’s NFP over the horizon.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) churned close to flat early on Tuesday, despite an overall uptick in investor risk appetite after Federal Reserve (Fed) officials gave a head-nod to easing inflation pressure in US economic data. The Dow Jones eventually found the gas pedal, climbing around 160 points to chalk in a little over four-tenths of one percent late in the US market session.

US JOLTS Jobs Openings in May ticked up slightly to 8.14 million MoM, easing above the forecast hold near 7.91 million. A slight uptick in available jobs helps to ease tightness in the labor market, giving risk appetite a leg up as softening labor figures will help to bolster rate cut odds from the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Fedspeak has shifted to the optimistic side on the inflation outlook, helping to further prop up broad-market sentiment as markets grind towards key economic figures slated for the rest of the week. Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) looms large over the horizon, with ADP Employment Change figures slated for Wednesday.

  • Powell speech: Inflation may get back to 2% late next year or following year
  • Fed's Gooslbee: I don't buy that last mile on inflation could take longer
  • May JOLTS: Froth skimmed off

Dow Jones news

The Dow Jones index gave a firmly mixed performance on Tuesday with roughly half of the major equity index’s constituent securities trading into the green for the day. Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) rose 1.5% to $200.25 per share, while Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) backslid -2.12%, falling to $40.85 per share.

Economic Indicator

JOLTS Job Openings

JOLTS Job Openings is a survey done by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics to help measure job vacancies. It collects data from employers including retailers, manufacturers and different offices each month.

Read more.

Last release: Tue Jul 02, 2024 14:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 8.14M

Consensus: 7.91M

Previous: 8.059M

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics

Dow Jones technical outlook

A sideways grind has plagued the Dow Jones index since it climbed back into chart territory between 39,500.00 and the 39,000.00 handle. A near-term technical ceiling is baked in at the last swing high into 39,581.00, with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) providing an intraday price floor from 38,918.00.

The Dow Jones remains on the low side of all-time highs set just above the 40,000.00 major price handle in May, and a slow recovery from the last major swing low into 38,000.00 threatens to run out of gas.

Dow Jones five minute chartDow Jones breaks late, etches in thin gains on Tuesday (1)

Dow Jones daily chartDow Jones breaks late, etches in thin gains on Tuesday (2)

Dow Jones FAQs

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, one of the oldest stock market indices in the world, is compiled of the 30 most traded stocks in the US. The index is price-weighted rather than weighted by capitalization. It is calculated by summing the prices of the constituent stocks and dividing them by a factor, currently 0.152. The index was founded by Charles Dow, who also founded the Wall Street Journal. In later years it has been criticized for not being broadly representative enough because it only tracks 30 conglomerates, unlike broader indices such as the S&P 500.

Many different factors drive the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). The aggregate performance of the component companies revealed in quarterly company earnings reports is the main one. US and global macroeconomic data also contributes as it impacts on investor sentiment. The level of interest rates, set by the Federal Reserve (Fed), also influences the DJIA as it affects the cost of credit, on which many corporations are heavily reliant. Therefore, inflation can be a major driver as well as other metrics which impact the Fed decisions.

Dow Theory is a method for identifying the primary trend of the stock market developed by Charles Dow. A key step is to compare the direction of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) and only follow trends where both are moving in the same direction. Volume is a confirmatory criteria. The theory uses elements of peak and trough analysis. Dow’s theory posits three trend phases: accumulation, when smart money starts buying or selling; public participation, when the wider public joins in; and distribution, when the smart money exits.

There are a number of ways to trade the DJIA. One is to use ETFs which allow investors to trade the DJIA as a single security, rather than having to buy shares in all 30 constituent companies. A leading example is the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA). DJIA futures contracts enable traders to speculate on the future value of the index and Options provide the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the index at a predetermined price in the future. Mutual funds enable investors to buy a share of a diversified portfolio of DJIA stocks thus providing exposure to the overall index.

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Dow Jones breaks late, etches in thin gains on Tuesday (2024)

FAQs

Dow Jones breaks late, etches in thin gains on Tuesday? ›

Dow Jones Industrial Average breaks late, etches in thin gains on Tuesday. Dow Jones struggled to make gains on Tuesday, underperforming other indexes. Fedspeak is cautiously tilting towards rate cuts, but more progress remains. Key US data looms ahead this week with Friday's NFP over the horizon.

What was the worst day in stock market history? ›

The 1987 stock market crash, or Black Monday, is known for being the largest single-day percentage decline in U.S. stock market history. On Oct. 19, the Dow fell 22.6 percent, a shocking drop of 508 points. The crash was somewhat of an isolated incident and didn't have anywhere near the impact that the 1929 crash did.

Has the Dow ever dropped 1000 points in a day? ›

Dow plunges more than 1,000 points amid fears of U.S. economic slowdown. Stocks in the U.S. plunged for a third consecutive trading day, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbling more than 1,000 points amid growing fears of an economic downturn sparked by a slowdown in hiring and consumer spending.

What's the highest the Dow Jones has ever been? ›

Records
CategoryAll-time highs
Closing41,563.08Friday, August 30, 2024
Intraday41,585.21Friday, August 30, 2024

What was the biggest Dow losses in a day? ›

Largest daily percentage losses
RankDateChange
Net
11987-10-19−508.00
22020-03-16−2,997.10
31929-10-28−38.33
17 more rows

What day of the week is worst for the stock market? ›

Stock prices fall on Mondays, following a rise on the previous trading day (usually Friday). This timing translates to a recurrent low or negative average return from Friday to Monday in the stock market.

On which day did the stock market lose the most value? ›

On Monday, Oct. 19, 1987, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged almost 22%. It was the biggest single-day decline in stock market history. The remainder of the month wasn't much better: By the start of November 1987, most of the major stock market indexes had lost more than 20% of their value.

Is the stock market going to crash in 2024? ›

While many experts are making predictions about whether the market will crash in 2024 or how severe the next downturn will be, it's impossible to say with certainty where stock prices will be in the short term. However, the market's long-term performance is all but guaranteed to be positive.

How long did it take for the stock market to recover after 1929? ›

In late 1937, there was a sharp dip in the stock market, but prices held well above the 1932 lows. The Dow Jones did not return to its peak close of September 3, 1929, for 25 years, until November 23, 1954.

Have any penny stocks made it big? ›

Sure, some penny stocks turned out to be massive success stories, like Apple, Ford Motor, and Monster Beverage. Find a similar success story like those top penny stocks, and you stand to make a fortune. However, you have to be willing to do the research to find them in a sea of duds.

Will Dow hit $40,000 in 2024? ›

Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York City on May 16, 2024, when the Dow hit 40,000 points for the first time ever. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 40,000 points on Thursday for the first time ever, signaling a strong endorsem*nt of the health of the U.S. economy.

Has the stock market ever hit $40,000? ›

The Dow Jones Industrial Average breached the 40,000 level for the first time ever in mid-May, which was sort of an inevitability since the long-term trend for U.S. stocks has always been up and to the right.

How long did it take for stock market to recover after 2008? ›

The bounce-back from the 2008 crash took five and a half years, but an additional half year to regain your purchasing power.

Can you lose your 401k if the stock market crashes? ›

What Happens to My 401(k) If the Stock Market Crashes? If you are invested in stocks, those holdings will likely see their value fall. But if you have several years until you need your retirement account money, keep contributing, as you may be able to buy many stocks on sale.

What was the best day in stock history? ›

On March 15, 1933, the Dow Jones Industrial Average logged in its biggest one-day percent gain ever. Prior to its rally, President Franklin D. Roosevelt temporarily shut down the banks on March 5 following a month-long run on U.S. banks. Consequently, U.S. markets remained closed during that period.

What was the worst day in Dow Jones history? ›

The statistic shows the worst days of the Dow Jones Industrial Average index from 1897 to 2023. The worst day in the history of the index was October 19 1987, when the index value decreased by 22.61 percent.

What is typically the worst day of the week for stocks? ›

So, if an exchange or index was trending up on Friday, common trading wisdom states that it'll likely continue in that vein, though often with lower returns, when markets open again on Monday. However, some traders and investors believe that markets tend to trend downward on Mondays.

What is the most spy has dropped in a day? ›

Using the 12 largest single-day down moves over the last 3 years in SPY stock, the average move was -3.4% with the single largest daily move of -4.3% occurring on 13-Sep-2022. The following day, SPY stock price averaged -0.3% losses, with up moves and down moves occurring equally.

What are the worst days to trade? ›

Now you know that Monday and Friday are bad days for trading and the latter is worse than the former. If you exclude Monday and Friday from your trading you will discover that the best trading setups emerge between Tuesday and Thursday.

What is the historically worst stock month? ›

September is historically the worst month for U.S. stocks. What investors need to know. Morningstar.

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